Adaptation of Livelihood to Drought, Bangladesh

A Study in Niamatpur Upazila, Naogaon, Bangladesh

1. Introduction

Barind areas of Bangladesh experienced extreme drought in 1996 and 2009. In the Barind area, the average annual rainfall is lower (1374 to 1400 mm) in the southern part and increases gradually towards the north and northeast with the highest value of 1656 mm.  The magnitude of change of annual rainfall shows a significant decreasing (-23.69 to -20.00 mm/year) trend towards the northwestern part with an insignificant increasing trend towards the southwestern part (+12.00 to +16.55 mm/yr). This research has examined the adaptation processes of people’s livelihood during the drought season in Niamatpur, Naogaon in barind areas of Bangladesh where about 75 % of irrigation water comes from groundwater.  This is causing a great threat to the irrigated agricultural system because of overdrawn aquifers, lowered water tables and reduced stream flow. After analyzing both primary and secondary data, it is found that local communities try to cope with climate variability based on their past exposure and experience in managing climate extremes. About 17% people accept that there is a very high risk of food security due to drought. Around 39% of people believe that a medium type of food crisis can occur due to drought. Almost 100% of people accept that drought has a high impact on the unemployment rate. The people tend to prefer temporary or seasonal migration, typically migrating for 2–3 months each year due to the unavailability of work during the off-season. The construction of a dug well for drinking water and limited cultivation of vegetables is one of the initiatives taken by Barendra Multipurpose Development Authority in Niamatpur Upazila. Gonpur village has one of those dug well. The research recommends that to reduce increasing vulnerability to affected people, successful local adaptation should be taken and it requires multiple pathways with interrelated, well-planned short and long-term measures.

Naogaon district
Location Map of Naogaon District

Keywords: Drought, Disaster, Adaptation, Groundwater, Bangladesh

2. Study Area

For our research purposes, we have chosen Niamatpur Upazila where about 75 % of irrigation water comes from groundwater. The intensity of deforestation in Niamatpur is increasing with the growing population. Deforestation causes damage to habitat, loss of biodiversity and river bank erosion which brings drought. It can also cause extreme temperatures and low precipitation. The literature revealed that the average temperature is increasing day by day due to the decreasing vegetation coverage and increasing greenhouse gases. 
 

Critical Dry Periods in Niamatpur Upazila

Pre-Kharip Drought prone area in Nawgaon
Pre-kharif drought prone areas in Naogaon district (Data Source: BARC, 2011)
Kharip Drought prone area in Nawgaon
Kharif drought prone areas in Naogaon district (Data Source: BARC, 2011)

Rabi Drought prone area in Nawgaon
Rabi drought-prone areas in Naogaon district (Data Source: BARC, 2011)

The above three maps (Pre-Kharif, Kharif and Rabi drought-prone areas) show that Niamatpur Upazila is the most drought-prone area in the Naogaon district. The study will be conducted in this Upazila to find out the adaptation strategies of the people of this area. We have concentrated on a specific village named Gonpur because the livelihood pattern has changed in this drought-prone area. It was noticed that the probability of migration rate increases more during the drought period than the normal period due to monga. The result was shown that about 84% of drought victims migrated from the drought-prone area for better livelihoods and government assistance during the 1994 severe drought while 65% of other households migrated for different incidents except for drought. About 59 % of drought victims left the area in the 2006 drought whereas only 40 % of victims migrated from the drought-affected areas in recent years. About 26% of past drought victims migrated from the area with no drought period while 18% of other households migrated for the different unpleasant incidents in the area. Mitigation techniques are to be adopted to reduce drought impacts on agriculture and ensure food security. The country is trying to develop coping mechanisms against natural hazards like drought through the support of the government.

3. Methodology

The study has been conducted using both primary data and secondary data. The secondary data of this research has been collected from various secondary sources like a research paper, research article, various published reports etc.
The primary data for this research has been collected through the questionnaire survey and also conducting FGD (Focus Group Discussion) with the stakeholders of the study area. The Authority of the Department of Agricultural Extension (DAE) and also the authority of BMDA (Barendra Multipurpose Development Authority) also helped to collect data during field study through various information related to the adaptation of agriculture and livelihood to drought in the study area.

The following diagram shows the activity of this research:

Activity of this research, Drought
The activity of this research, Drought

4. Results and Findings

Water Crisis in the Study Area

Hydrogeologically, this village area is covered by a semi-impervious silty-clay aquitard of the Recent-Pleistocene age with low infiltration rate where recharge potentiality is only 8.6% of the total annual rainfall. The aquifer is characterized based on transmissibility values of low (<500 m2/day) in the central part of the village, suitable for domestic water supply; and medium (500-1000 m2/day) in and around the area suitable for irrigation and domestic needs. 

The average annual rainfall for the period 1980-2009 in the area is 1525 mm (much less than the national average of 2550 mm) where dry and monsoon season's average values are 244 and 1266 mm respectively. In the Barind area, the average annual rainfall is lower (1374 to 1400  mm) in the southern part and increases gradually towards the north and northeast with the highest value of  1656  mm.  The magnitude of change of annual rainfall shows a  significant decreasing (-23.69  to -20.00  mm/year) trend towards the northwestern part with an insignificant increasing trend towards the southwestern part (+12.00 to +16.55 mm/yr). Similar to the annual rainfall series, the periodic  (dry and rainy)  time series in the  Barind area shows mostly negative trends.  The distribution of the magnitude of change of the dry season shows an insignificant decreasing trend in the Barind Tract (-3.00 to -0.00 mm/yr) and that of the rainy season shows an insignificant increasing trend (+3.00 to +6.00 mm/yr) in the southwestern part. 

Gonpur is such a village where water crisis in a major issue for agriculture and also livelihood. There a small number of ponds in this village which usually remain dry throughout the year. Water from these ponds is very much insufficient for irrigation. Though Barendra Multipurpose Development Authority (BMDA) has established about 604 deep tube wells (DTW) and 833 Shallow tube well (STW) in the Niamatpur zone, this Gonpur village has no water facilities from BMDA. No personal DTW has been established in this village yet. People live there in extreme conditions throughout the year. 

Base Map of the existing ponds in gonpur village
Base map showing the location of Gonpur village (Data Source: Google Earth)

Rainfall variability in Niamatpur Upazila (Data Source: BMDA)
Rainfall variability in Niamatpur Upazila (Data Source: BMDA)

The above figure shows the annual rainfall variability of the study area. The graph shows that the rainfall in Niamatpur Upazila is decreasing year after year and the pattern of rainfall also changing because of climate change. The area faces extreme water crises in the dry season and also in the winter season due to less or no rainfall. The following table shows the monthly rainfall variability in Niamatpur Upazila from 2002 to 2019.

The Rainfall measurements report
The Rainfall measurements report

Some photos from Gonpur village, Niamatpur showing the crisis of water (Source: Field Survey)
Some photos from Gonpur village, Niamatpur show the crisis of water (Source: Field Survey)

Groundwater Decline and Depletion in the Study Area

Groundwater is a valuable resource throughout the world. Where surface water, such as lakes and rivers, are scarce or inaccessible, groundwater supplies many of the hydrologic needs of people everywhere. The volume of groundwater in storage is decreasing in barind areas in response to pumping. Groundwater depletion is primarily caused by sustained groundwater pumping. Some of the negative effects of groundwater depletion in barind areas are:
  • drying up of wells
  • reduction of water in streams and lakes
  • deterioration of water quality
  • increased pumping costs
  • land subsidence
In barind areas, especially in Niamatpur Upazila, the level of groundwater is decreasing year after year. Barendra Multipurpose Development Authority (BMDA) collects groundwater data twice a month. The table below shows the depletion of groundwater in Niamatpur Upazila (mainly in Hajinagar union).

Depletion of groundwater in Niamatpur upazila (Data source: BMDA)
Depletion of groundwater in Niamatpur Upazila (Data source: BMDA)

The figure above shows the yearly and monthly depletion of groundwater in Niamatpur Upazila. Data from the table above shows that the groundwater in Niamatpur Upazila is decreasing by about one to three feet per year. This is causing a water crisis in this Upazila which is extreme in Gonpur village. Mostly agriculture and livelihood of the people in these areas are totally out of sufficient water supply. Lake of irrigation causes a decrease in agricultural production, unemployment problem, migration of people towards urban areas and also effects on local biodiversity.


Meeting with DAE authority, Niamatpur, Nawgaon
Meeting with DAE authority, Niamatpur, Nawgaon

Yearly depletion of groundwater in Niamatpur upazila (Data source: BMDA)
Yearly depletion of groundwater in Niamatpur Upazila (Data source: BMDA)

Agricultural production in Niamatpur

As an extreme drought-prone area, the production of agriculture is not much like in other areas of Bangladesh. The Department of agricultural extension in Niamatpur Upazila is trying to increase the production of agriculture in this area by modifying the crop calender. 


General information about agricultural sector in Niamatpur upazila (Source: DAE, Niamatpur upazila)
General information about agricultural sector in Niamatpur upazila (Source: DAE, Niamatpur upazila)

Department of agricultural extension (DAE) of Niamatpur Upazila is motivating the local farmers to cultivate less water consume crops such as wheat, mustard, lentil etc. as these are produced as a short duration crops without huge amount of irrigation and have the the maximum productive capacity. DAE is also assisting the local farmers by giving themselves seeds and fartilizers in drought periods. 

Production of Aus rice

The production of Aus rice is increasing in Niamatpur Upazila as a short-duration crop. DAE authority is motivating the local farmers to cultivate this crop. The production of Aus rice in 2019-2020 was 9955 tons which is the highest cultivation of Aus rice in Niamatpur in the last decade.

Aus rice production in Niamatpur upazila (Source: DAE, Niamatpur upazila)

Aus rice production in Niamatpur upazila (Source: DAE, Niamatpur upazila)

Production of Aman rice

The highest production of crops in Niamatpur Upazila is Aman rice. As a drought-prone area the cultivation of aman rice profitable crop. DAE in Niamatpur assist the local farmers to cultivate the aman crops. They provide training to the local farmers and sometimes also provide seeds and fertilizers.

Aman rice production in Niamatpur upazila (Source: DAE, Niamatpur upazila)
Aman rice production in Niamatpur upazila (Source: DAE, Niamatpur upazila)

Production of Boro rice

Though local farmers in Niamatpur are keen to cultivate Boro crops, DAE tries to demotivate the local farmers to cultivate boro crops as this is a high amount of water consumed crop and it takes more time to cultivate which is a less profitable crop. 

Boro rice production in Niamatpur upazila (Source: DAE, Niamatpur upazila)
Boro rice production in Niamatpur upazila (Source: DAE, Niamatpur upazila)

Production of Mustard and Wheat

Both mustard and wheat are profitable crops in drought-prone areas like Niamatpur. DAE motivates the local farmers to cultivate these Robi crops as these need less water and have good productivity. Each year DAE is trying to increase the cropland of wheat and mustard. 

Mustard and Wheat production in Niamatpur upazila (Source: DAE, Niamatpur upazila)
Mustard and Wheat production in Niamatpur upazila (Source: DAE, Niamatpur upazila)


Year

Boro

Aus

Aman

Mustard

Wheat

2012-2013

19800

8050

28273

3150

3050

2013-2014

20775

9570

28100

3270

3250

2014-2015

22250

9650

27300

3370

3370

2015-2016

21425

8230

30060

2760

3150

2016-2017

21240

8425

29260

2930

3470

2017-2018

21485

8940

29950

2785

2940

2018-2019

20885

9000

29940

3530

3865

2019-2020

20340

9955

29740

4240

3900


Table: Yearly production (ton) of Boro, Aus, Aman, Mustard and Wheat in Niamatpur upazila (Source: DAE, Niamatpur upazila)

The figure above is indicating that the highest agricultural production in Niamatpur Upazila is Aman which is about 44% of total production. But in Rabi season when there is a scarcity of rainwater, mustard and wheat are the only crops to grow in this region.

Mustard and wheat cultivation in Gonpur village, Niamatpur (Source: Field Survey)
Mustard and wheat cultivation in Gonpur village, Niamatpur (Source: Field Survey)

5. Effects of drought on livelihood in the study area

Flood security:

Effect of drought on food security (Source: Field Survey)
Effect of drought on food security (Source: Field Survey)


The figure above shows the effect of the water crisis on food security. The survey was conducted on 18 different houses beside the road located in Gonpur. Here we can see that around 33% of people do not accept the concept of food shortage due to drought. On the other hand, 17% of people accept that there is a very high risk of food security due to drought. Around 39% of people believe that a medium type of food crisis can occur due to drought. 

Unemployment:

In the graph below we can see that almost 78% of people accept that the unemployment rate rises due to drought whereas 22% of people think that drought causes the unemployment rate but its effect is a little bit lesser. Almost 100% of people accept that drought has a high impact on the unemployment rate. 

Unemployment rate and its relation to drought (Source: Field Survey)
Unemployment rate and its relation to drought (Source: Field Survey)

Migration of People:

The focus group discussions indicated the importance of migration as a response to drought and expectations of drought. The people tend to prefer temporary or seasonal migration, typically migrating for 2–3 months each year due to the unavailability of work during the off-season. One exception is that many young adults prefer to migrate permanently to the capital city of Dhaka. The seasonal calendar indicates that migration out from the area is high from September to December, especially in December when there are few agriculture-related tasks to do. People move to other areas to work at jobs such as rickshaw pulling, masonry construction, and garment making. They return in January for harvesting. Regarding April and May, the people who migrate (mostly adult males) tend to leave during the “summer” when there is a water shortage and then they return once the monsoon starts. 

Effect of drought on migration (Source: Field Survey)
Effect of drought on migration (Source: Field Survey)

The household survey indicated that approximately 45% of the population migrate to nearby cities, namely Rajshahi or Naogaon, when cultivation stops. About 36% remain behind to tend to livestock, with the others involved mainly in household activities.

The social impacts of drought are ways that drought affects people’s health and safety. Social impacts include public safety, health, conflicts between people when there isn't enough water to go around, and changes in lifestyle. Examples of social impacts include:

  • Anxiety or depression about economic losses caused by drought
  • Health problems related to low water flows and poor water quality
  • Health problems related to dust
  • Loss of human life
  • Reduced incomes

Effects of drought on the Environment in the study area

In the figure below it can be observed how drought can impact environmental changes in a particular area. Analyzing this graph it can be said that most people agreed that drought or rainfall crisis is responsible for the growing temperature in that particular area. They also realize that some other environmental problems like forest degradation, pasture degradation, water scarcity and groundwater decline and wildlife damage are also caused by droughts. 

Environmental changes caused by drought. (Source: Field Survey)
Environmental changes caused by drought. (Source: Field Survey)

Adaptation of Livelihood to Drought

Most animals are well adapted to their biotic and abiotic conditions due to behavioural, physiological or structural adaptations that increase their chances of survival and reproduction. An adaptation is a characteristic of an organism that improves its chances of surviving and/or reproducing. Organisms are generally well adapted to the abiotic and biotic conditions of the environment in which they live. An organism’s adaptations are a result of the genes the organism inherits from its parents. The proportion of well-adapted organisms in a population can increase over the generations by the process of evolution by natural selection. There are three different types of adaptations: 

a) Behavioural - responses made by an organism that help it to survive/reproduce
b) Physiological - a body process that helps an organism to survive/reproduce
c) Structural - a feature of an organism’s body that helps it to survive/reproduce

Adaptation practices by local farmers


From the field survey data, it is found that the scenario of agricultural adaptation policy by the farmers during drought season. Here it can be seen that farmers usually do not want to change their crop calendar, even though most of them do not want to migrate to the less water-consuming crops. But, many farmers want to keep the land unsown if they predict that there is a possibility of drought. Some of them show interest in using deep tube wells or sprinklers to manage the irrigation. Most of the farmers are careless about the wastage of water and water preservation systems to avoid drought situations. 

Local people have developed behavioural & physiological adaptations. They do not want to change their lifestyle, they believe in their faith. Most of the people in the study area are indigenous people. Most of the farmers have land and they try to produce their crops natural. The farmers do not have huge money to have a deep tube well but some farmers recently tried to install a dug-well in order to reserve water so that they can utilize this source of water to produce crops. In the dry season, many of them take a short time migration in order to earn money to survive their life. 

They also take a loan when they do not earn money in the dry season, in this regard NGOs help a lot of the people of this region. As well as some incidence also occurs due to NGO’s load. Farmers expect that after harvesting crops loans will be paid, but many of them can not reach the target, and they are unable to release from a loan. NGOs authority creates artificial pressure on them, and they fail to pay loans. Even some farmers take extreme decisions to kill themselves due to the extra pressure of loans. It happens when extreme drought in the area. 


Agricultural adaptations used to mitigate drought impacts (Source: Field Survey)
Agricultural adaptations used to mitigate drought impacts (Source: Field Survey)

Initiatives by local administration

The local administration has taken various initiatives to reduce the impacts of drought and to increase agricultural production in Gonpur, Niamatpur Upazila. The construction of a dug well for drinking water and limited cultivation of vegetables is one of the initiatives taken by Barendra Multipurpose Development Authority in Niamatpur Upazila. Gonpur village has one of those dug well. 

Interview with Local Farmers, Gonpur, Niamatpur
Interview with Local Farmers, Gonpur, Niamatpur


Barendra is a special soil zone among the soils of Bangladesh. As in other regions, the groundwater level in the region is not quite up to par. In the Barendra region, the groundwater level is so poor that it is not possible to lift it by deep tube wells or shallow tube wells, but in these areas, water is dug in the wells when dug wells. By harvesting the water deposited in wells, it is possible to cultivate such crops with low irrigation, including food, water and household use. To obtain satisfactory water it is necessary to dig up to forty-six inches in diameter to one hundred twenty / thirty feet deep. In this area, indigenous people are unable to produce such leaves and they live very hard and cannot produce any crops on their land. It is very difficult to lift water using a rope bucket from the very bottom of the well. To overcome this problem, measures have been taken to extract water using solar panels. Solar panels are shaped by some funnels, without the use of conventional long rows, with some funnel shapes, so that rainwater will fall into the well. This is a special quote from the Honorable Minister. The water deposited in dug-well is deposited in a tank mounted on a well using a submersible solar pump. The water deposited in the tank is collected by the PVC pipeline from tap installed near the dug-well for public drinking and household work, and irrigated water is used directly from the outlet and through the ribbon pipe by constructing the pipette line on the cultivated land and placing the faucets/outlets at different locations. Six dug-well activities excavated by the Barendra Multipurpose Development Authority are currently being conducted with the help of a solar pump. The beneficiaries drink the water of the dug-well as food for water and use it for household purposes as well as irrigation crops such as potatoes, potatoes, onions, chillies, garlic, sweet pumpkin, rice pumpkin, mushrooms, eggplant, beans, beans, legumes and lentils. Farming is beneficial. Rainwater is being conserved and the production of crops that require very little water is being used financially, which does no harm to the environment. Meanwhile, on August 7, 2019, a project titled "Production of short irrigation crops by the excavation of dug-well in Barendra area" was approved. The main purpose of the project is to produce short irrigation crops by water harvested by dug-well excavation and supply water to household work including food and water. Under this project, four places in the Barendra area of Rajshahi Division are in Chapai-Nawabganj district (Chapai-Nawabganj Sadar, Gomstapur and Nachol) and 1 in Naogaon district (Niamatpur, Mahadebpur, Patnitla, Dhamu, Jhapa, Tazu, Jhapa, Khata, Jhapa, Jhapa, Jhunjhunj and Tazu). It will be possible to supply water to households for irrigation crops, including food and households.


Meeting with BMDA authority, Niamatpur
Meeting with BMDA authority, Niamatpur


Dug-well in Gonpor village, Niamatpur upazila (Source: Field Survey)
Dug-well in Gonpor village, Niamatpur Upazila (Source: Field Survey) 

Recent initiatives by local authorities

a) Dug well Installation: There are two dug well installing in recent time in the study area. In the present time there has no dug well, and these two well will be started soon.  
b) Rain water harvesting: It is very initial stages; field survey has done and within this year may be installed or started. 
c) Crops variations: Local DAE has taken some initiations, some crops suggesting for this specific area and they are getting positing results, we can see in the table 
d) Subsidies in different package: Local people are getting more subsidies than previous period, that is why they are taking more initiation (buying new types of seeds, using different fertilizer etc.)
e) New Canal and pond digging: Recently, BMDA digging new cannel and ponds for better irrigation in the study area. 

6. Conclusion and Recommendation

Conclusion

Anthropogenic factors and climatic conditions mutually reinforce the chronic livelihoods vulnerability of the drought-prone Niamatpur area in Bangladesh. Droughts strike regularly; however, it is the limited local capabilities and capacities and the lack of entrance to different forms of assets which make the livelihoods of people vulnerable.

7. Recommendation

To reduce increasing vulnerability to affected people, successful local adaptation should be taken and it requires multiple pathways with interrelated, well-planned short and long-term measures, including:

a) Adjustment of existing agricultural practices – such as the introduction of drought-tolerant crop varieties, adjustment of cropping patterns, better storage of fodder and seeds, dry seedbeds, and alternative crop cultivation;

b) Physical adaptive measures – for example, excavation, re-excavation of minibonds, canals, and storage facilities for preserving rainwater;

c) Strengthening local initiatives – such as self-help programs, awareness raising and capacity building for local people;

d) Adjusting socio-economic actions – such as market facilitation, livelihood diversification, integration of indigenous knowledge, and small-scale cottage industries;

e) Strengthening formal institutional capacities – such as local financial institutions and disaster management committees;

f) Formulating a strategy to catalyze the development of adaptive livelihood opportunities;
g) Supporting better research activities– such as the invention of new drought-tolerant crop varieties or improved existing crop varieties, and other adaptive and conducive technologies.
h) Creating advocacy and awareness on climate change. 

For the long-term sustainability of any type of intervention, the linkages between mainstream development and climate change adaptation need to be ensured, an enabling organizational environment must be established as well as coordination among local people, stack holders and related organizations must be needed. The fundamental requirement of long-term livelihood adaptation is communication and field operations activities, coordination of agency planning, and the activities of government agencies and departments, GO agencies, NGOs and farmers.


-Thank You-












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