Adaptation of Livelihood to Drought, Bangladesh
A Study in Niamatpur Upazila, Naogaon, Bangladesh
1. Introduction
Barind areas of Bangladesh experienced extreme drought in 1996 and 2009. In the Barind area, the average annual rainfall is lower (1374 to 1400 mm) in the southern part and increases gradually towards the north and northeast with the highest value of 1656 mm. The magnitude of change of annual rainfall shows a significant decreasing (-23.69 to -20.00 mm/year) trend towards the northwestern part with an insignificant increasing trend towards the southwestern part (+12.00 to +16.55 mm/yr). This research has examined the adaptation processes of people’s livelihood during the drought season in Niamatpur, Naogaon in barind areas of Bangladesh where about 75 % of irrigation water comes from groundwater. This is causing a great threat to the irrigated agricultural system because of overdrawn aquifers, lowered water tables and reduced stream flow. After analyzing both primary and secondary data, it is found that local communities try to cope with climate variability based on their past exposure and experience in managing climate extremes. About 17% people accept that there is a very high risk of food security due to drought. Around 39% of people believe that a medium type of food crisis can occur due to drought. Almost 100% of people accept that drought has a high impact on the unemployment rate. The people tend to prefer temporary or seasonal migration, typically migrating for 2–3 months each year due to the unavailability of work during the off-season. The construction of a dug well for drinking water and limited cultivation of vegetables is one of the initiatives taken by Barendra Multipurpose Development Authority in Niamatpur Upazila. Gonpur village has one of those dug well. The research recommends that to reduce increasing vulnerability to affected people, successful local adaptation should be taken and it requires multiple pathways with interrelated, well-planned short and long-term measures.
Location Map of Naogaon District Keywords: Drought, Disaster, Adaptation, Groundwater, Bangladesh |
2. Study Area
For our research purposes, we have chosen Niamatpur Upazila where about 75 % of irrigation water comes from groundwater. The intensity of deforestation in Niamatpur is increasing with the growing population. Deforestation causes damage to habitat, loss of biodiversity and river bank erosion which brings drought. It can also cause extreme temperatures and low precipitation. The literature revealed that the average temperature is increasing day by day due to the decreasing vegetation coverage and increasing greenhouse gases.
Critical Dry Periods in Niamatpur Upazila
Pre-kharif drought prone areas in Naogaon district (Data Source: BARC, 2011) |
Kharif drought prone areas in Naogaon district (Data Source: BARC, 2011) |
Rabi drought-prone areas in Naogaon district (Data Source: BARC, 2011) |
The above three maps (Pre-Kharif, Kharif and Rabi drought-prone areas) show that Niamatpur Upazila is the most drought-prone area in the Naogaon district. The study will be conducted in this Upazila to find out the adaptation strategies of the people of this area. We have concentrated on a specific village named Gonpur because the livelihood pattern has changed in this drought-prone area. It was noticed that the probability of migration rate increases more during the drought period than the normal period due to monga. The result was shown that about 84% of drought victims migrated from the drought-prone area for better livelihoods and government assistance during the 1994 severe drought while 65% of other households migrated for different incidents except for drought. About 59 % of drought victims left the area in the 2006 drought whereas only 40 % of victims migrated from the drought-affected areas in recent years. About 26% of past drought victims migrated from the area with no drought period while 18% of other households migrated for the different unpleasant incidents in the area. Mitigation techniques are to be adopted to reduce drought impacts on agriculture and ensure food security. The country is trying to develop coping mechanisms against natural hazards like drought through the support of the government.
3. Methodology
The study has been conducted using both primary data and secondary data. The secondary data of this research has been collected from various secondary sources like a research paper, research article, various published reports etc.
The primary data for this research has been collected through the questionnaire survey and also conducting FGD (Focus Group Discussion) with the stakeholders of the study area. The Authority of the Department of Agricultural Extension (DAE) and also the authority of BMDA (Barendra Multipurpose Development Authority) also helped to collect data during field study through various information related to the adaptation of agriculture and livelihood to drought in the study area.
The following diagram shows the activity of this research:
The activity of this research, Drought |
4. Results and Findings
Water Crisis in the Study Area
Hydrogeologically, this village area is covered by a semi-impervious silty-clay aquitard of the Recent-Pleistocene age with low infiltration rate where recharge potentiality is only 8.6% of the total annual rainfall. The aquifer is characterized based on transmissibility values of low (<500 m2/day) in the central part of the village, suitable for domestic water supply; and medium (500-1000 m2/day) in and around the area suitable for irrigation and domestic needs.
The average annual rainfall for the period 1980-2009 in the area is 1525 mm (much less than the national average of 2550 mm) where dry and monsoon season's average values are 244 and 1266 mm respectively. In the Barind area, the average annual rainfall is lower (1374 to 1400 mm) in the southern part and increases gradually towards the north and northeast with the highest value of 1656 mm. The magnitude of change of annual rainfall shows a significant decreasing (-23.69 to -20.00 mm/year) trend towards the northwestern part with an insignificant increasing trend towards the southwestern part (+12.00 to +16.55 mm/yr). Similar to the annual rainfall series, the periodic (dry and rainy) time series in the Barind area shows mostly negative trends. The distribution of the magnitude of change of the dry season shows an insignificant decreasing trend in the Barind Tract (-3.00 to -0.00 mm/yr) and that of the rainy season shows an insignificant increasing trend (+3.00 to +6.00 mm/yr) in the southwestern part.
Gonpur is such a village where water crisis in a major issue for agriculture and also livelihood. There a small number of ponds in this village which usually remain dry throughout the year. Water from these ponds is very much insufficient for irrigation. Though Barendra Multipurpose Development Authority (BMDA) has established about 604 deep tube wells (DTW) and 833 Shallow tube well (STW) in the Niamatpur zone, this Gonpur village has no water facilities from BMDA. No personal DTW has been established in this village yet. People live there in extreme conditions throughout the year.
Base map showing the location of Gonpur village (Data Source: Google Earth) |
The above figure shows the annual rainfall variability of the study area. The graph shows that the rainfall in Niamatpur Upazila is decreasing year after year and the pattern of rainfall also changing because of climate change. The area faces extreme water crises in the dry season and also in the winter season due to less or no rainfall. The following table shows the monthly rainfall variability in Niamatpur Upazila from 2002 to 2019.
The Rainfall measurements report |
Some photos from Gonpur village, Niamatpur show the crisis of water (Source: Field Survey) |
Groundwater Decline and Depletion in the Study Area
Groundwater is a valuable resource throughout the world. Where surface water, such as lakes and rivers, are scarce or inaccessible, groundwater supplies many of the hydrologic needs of people everywhere. The volume of groundwater in storage is decreasing in barind areas in response to pumping. Groundwater depletion is primarily caused by sustained groundwater pumping. Some of the negative effects of groundwater depletion in barind areas are:
- drying up of wells
- reduction of water in streams and lakes
- deterioration of water quality
- increased pumping costs
- land subsidence
In barind areas, especially in Niamatpur Upazila, the level of groundwater is decreasing year after year. Barendra Multipurpose Development Authority (BMDA) collects groundwater data twice a month. The table below shows the depletion of groundwater in Niamatpur Upazila (mainly in Hajinagar union).
Meeting with DAE authority, Niamatpur, Nawgaon |